Scalar Field
how are anlyst win rates from top banks

I'll help you analyze the win rates of analysts from top banks. Let me outline the steps:

  1. First, we'll fetch analyst predictions data for major banks
  2. Calculate if their predictions were successful by comparing price targets with actual prices
  3. Compute win rates and other relevant statistics
  4. Present the results in a clear format

However, before proceeding, I need a few clarifications:

  1. What time period would you like to analyze? (e.g., last 1 year, 3 years, etc.)
  2. Would you like to focus on specific banks, or should I analyze all major banks?
  3. How would you like to define a "win"? Typically, it's defined as the stock reaching the price target within a certain timeframe (e.g., 12 months from prediction). Would this definition work for you?

Please provide these details so I can generate the most relevant analysis for you.

do this for 2023 - 2024. Stock reaches within 5% of price target anytime in the next 6 months.

I have thought through the logic and will proceed with the analysis. Here's the procedure to analyze analyst win rates:

  • Total Predictions Analyzed: 5,888
  • Average Win Rate Across All Banks: 62.0%
  • Total Unique Stocks Covered: 1,809

Detailed Statistics by Bank:

  • Morgan Stanley:
    • Total Predictions: 1,287
    • Win Rate: 60.8%
    • Unique Stocks: 766
  • Wells Fargo:
    • Total Predictions: 1,015
    • Win Rate: 62.6%
    • Unique Stocks: 649
  • Goldman Sachs:
    • Total Predictions: 912
    • Win Rate: 59.8%
    • Unique Stocks: 628
  • UBS:
    • Total Predictions: 739
    • Win Rate: 58.5%
    • Unique Stocks: 536
  • Citigroup:
    • Total Predictions: 641
    • Win Rate: 64.3%
    • Unique Stocks: 501
  • Deutsche Bank:
    • Total Predictions: 610
    • Win Rate: 65.6%
    • Unique Stocks: 418
  • Bank of America Securities:
    • Total Predictions: 488
    • Win Rate: 64.8%
    • Unique Stocks: 431
  • J.P. Morgan:
    • Total Predictions: 196
    • Win Rate: 65.3%
    • Unique Stocks: 170

Suggested next analyses:

  • Analyze win rates by sector or industry.
  • Compare win rates with historical performance from previous years.
  • Investigate factors contributing to higher win rates for specific banks.
make a plot

I'll create a comprehensive visualization using plotly to show both win rates and prediction volumes for each bank. The procedure will create a dual-axis plot with bars showing the number of predictions and a line showing the win rates.

  • Total Predictions Analyzed: 5,888
  • Average Win Rate Across All Banks: 62.0%
  • Total Unique Stocks Covered: 1,809

Detailed Statistics by Bank:

  • Morgan Stanley:
    • Total Predictions: 1,287
    • Win Rate: 60.8%
    • Unique Stocks: 766
  • Wells Fargo:
    • Total Predictions: 1,015
    • Win Rate: 62.6%
    • Unique Stocks: 649
  • Goldman Sachs:
    • Total Predictions: 912
    • Win Rate: 59.8%
    • Unique Stocks: 628
  • UBS:
    • Total Predictions: 739
    • Win Rate: 58.5%
    • Unique Stocks: 536
  • Citigroup:
    • Total Predictions: 641
    • Win Rate: 64.3%
    • Unique Stocks: 501
  • Deutsche Bank:
    • Total Predictions: 610
    • Win Rate: 65.6%
    • Unique Stocks: 418
  • Bank of America Securities:
    • Total Predictions: 488
    • Win Rate: 64.8%
    • Unique Stocks: 431
  • J.P. Morgan:
    • Total Predictions: 196
    • Win Rate: 65.3%
    • Unique Stocks: 170

Suggested next analyses:

  • Analyze win rates by sector or industry.
  • Compare win rates with historical performance from previous years.
  • Investigate factors contributing to higher win rates for specific banks.
thanks

Thank you for the feedback! I don't have any procedure to generate at this moment since no new analysis was requested.

If you'd like to explore any of the suggested follow-up analyses or have another analysis in mind, please let me know and I'll help you with that. I'll make sure to:

  1. Think through the logic first
  2. Ask for any needed clarifications upfront
  3. Batch all data requests efficiently
  4. Generate complete procedure that follows best practices

Feel free to ask any new questions!